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Weekly Fixed Income Market Analysis
The bond market is in for a sustained bull run with RBI, Fed and ECB all suggesting stimulus for their respective economies. The 10 year benchmark government bond yield is trading Read More
24 Jun 2019
Interest rate curves fell sharply last week on the back of multiple positive cues for rates. Globally, UST yields and German Bund yields have collapsed on the back of rising expectRead More
17 Jun 2019
Fed rate cut bets pushed down yields on the 10 year UST and also drove down the USD against global majors. Read our Global Bond and Currency Market Analysis for Fed Rate Cut Bets DRead More
10 Jun 2019
The sharp deceleration in GDP growth in the 4th quarter of fiscal 2018-19, with growth at 5.8% against full year 2018-19 growth of 6.8%, could prompt RBI to cut rates by 50bps in iRead More
03 Jun 2019
The election victory for the ruling NDA party has taken out political risk from bond markets and also ensures continuity of fiscal policy, as laid out in the interim budget for fisRead More
27 May 2019
Election results will drive bond yields this week. The biggest risk for bond yields is an opposition win, as implementation of NYAY can cause a huge hole in the fiscal. The NYAY wiRead More
20 May 2019
The government bond market is being pushed and pulled resulting in bond yields trading in a range and having no clear direction. On one side the weakening domestic economy is keepiRead More
13 May 2019
The government issued a New 30 year bond, the 7.63% 2059 bond, at spreads of 29bps over the 10 year benchmark bond, the 7.26% 2029 bond. The 10*30 spread has widened from 21bps to Read More
06 May 2019
Government bond yields fell marginally last week on the back of RBI OMO purchase auction announcement. The 10 year benchmark bond, the 7.26% 2029 bond, saw yields fall 1bps to closRead More
29 Apr 2019
. Liquidity deficit went above the Rs 1 trilion mark last week, as high government cash balance and rise in currency in circulation sucked out liquidity from the system. Liquidity Read More
22 Apr 2019
. Bond markets saw a sharp rise in yields across segments, as markets fretted over elections, rate cut uncertainty and supply. 10 year benchmark gsec yield rose by 6bps week on weeRead More
15 Apr 2019
. The bond market reaction to the repo rate cut of 25bps by the RBI in its policy review last week suggests that the market is questioning the way forward for the central bank. TheRead More
08 Apr 2019
. The bond market will brace for government bond and SDL supply of around Rs 250 billion to Rs 270billion on a weekly basis starting the 1st week of April. The government is borrowRead More
01 Apr 2019
. The financial year end 31st March is always a difficult month for bond markets given tight liquidity conditions and prospects of supply hitting the markets in April, through fresRead More
25 Mar 2019
Credit markets saw a new lease of life after a prolonged period of nervousness post the IL&FS debt default in September 2018. A strengthening INR saw FIIs pumping in money intoRead More
18 Mar 2019
Bond market sentiments are turning distinctly positive with INR strengthening to below Rs 70 to the USD, FIIs turning net buyers of bonds, central banks across the globe turning doRead More
11 Mar 2019
OIS (Overnight Indexed Swaps) yields fell sharply last week on rate cut optimism. One-year yield closed down by 10 bps and five-year OIS yield closed down by 18 bps last week. One-Read More
04 Mar 2019
The release of a dovish RBI policy minutes of the February MPC meeting failed to stop yields from rising across the market segment. Government bond, money market securities and corRead More
25 Feb 2019
Bond yields at the short end of the curve turned bullish on rate cut expectations in RBI April policy. CPI inflation for January printing lower than expected led to the sharp rise Read More
18 Feb 2019
Government bond yields rose on the back of worries of the government exceeding its fiscal deficit targets in its interim budget to be presented on the 1st of February 2019. NormallRead More
21 Jan 2019
