Government bond yields rose last week on the back of the release of the report by the 7th Pay Commission. The commission has recommended hikes in pay, allowance and pension (PAP) oRead More
The Friday terrorist attack on the people of Paris will increase risk aversion globally as investors worry about more such attacks. Rising global risk aversion will lead to EM bondRead More
Government bonds have outperformed Sensex, Nifty, INR and Gold this Diwali. Benchmark ten year government bond yields have fallen by 70bps from Diwali 2014 to Diwali 2015 even as SRead More
The government did not spend the money it collected from bond auctions in October 2015 leading to liquidity conditions turning deficit from surplus. The government auctioned bonds Read More
Global central banks are still in an easing mode with China’s central bank, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) and the European Central Bank (ECB) maintaining highly accommodative mRead More
RBI’s big bang 50bps rate cut on the 29th of September 2015 has helped lower yields across yield curves of government bonds and corporate bonds. Benchmark three, five and ten year Read More
The benchmark ten year government bond, the 7.72% 2025 bond saw yields touch 7.50% levels last week, the lowest since June 2013. Bond markets opened on a bullish note last week on Read More
US ten year benchmark treasury (UST) yields closed last week at its lowest level since April 2015. The ten year UST yield closed at 1.99%, down 17bps week on week and 40bps from hRead More
Janet Yellen, the Fed Chair, after holding interest rates status quo on the 17th of September, said that rate hikes will start this year in a speech on the 24th of September. MarkeRead More
Janet Yellen, the Fed Chair, gave RBI Governor Dr. Raghuram Rajan the go ahead to ease policy rates and also to increase limits on FII investments in Indian Government Bonds. The FRead More
The fall in global commodity prices on worries of China growth has hit credit spreads of bonds of commodity companies. Bonds of Vedanta and Hindalco, two of India’s largest commodiRead More
The money market is flooded with liquidity on government spending. We had predicted in our liquidity analysis in the monthly Liquidity Cheat Sheet published on 10th August 2015 thaRead More
RBI will not call it QE (Quantative Easing) but if the underlying intent of QE is to flood the system with Liquidity, India’s Central Bank has certainly carried out a QE program ovRead More
Global risk aversion has come to the fore with all risk indicators pointing to high volatility in financial markets. Sensex and Nifty are down over 5% each today on the back of gloRead More
Global risk aversion has come to the fore with all risk indicators pointing to high volatility in financial markets. Equity indices from the S&P 500 to China’s Shanghai ComposiRead More
The spread between the five year OIS and five year Gsec has widened over the last one month indicating the optimism of swap traders on RBI Repo Rate cut and the pessimism of bond tRead More
The bond trading community, which determines the interest rates in the economy, is an extremely unhappy lot. RBI has ensured that the trader has made no trading gains since JanuaryRead More
The two months since RBI’s 2nd June 2015 policy has given enough hopes for the market for a change in RBI’s stance on policy rates. RBI had indicated in June that it would maintainRead More
The Incremental Credit Deposit Ratio (ICDR) is the growth in credit in relation to growth in deposits and this ratio is showing extreme lack of credit appetite amongst banks. WatchRead More
RBI is intent on maintaining overnight rates at the Repo Rate of 7.25% and is conducting Reverse Repo auctions to suck out excess system liquidity. Bids for overnight and five and Read More