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Weekly Fixed Income Market Analysis
The benchmark ten year government bond, the 7.72% 2025 bond saw yields touch 7.50% levels last week, the lowest since June 2013. Bond markets opened on a bullish note last week on Read More
10 Oct 2015
US ten year benchmark treasury (UST) yields closed last week at its lowest level since April 2015. The ten year UST yield closed at 1.99%, down 17bps week on week and 40bps from hRead More
04 Oct 2015
Janet Yellen, the Fed Chair, after holding interest rates status quo on the 17th of September, said that rate hikes will start this year in a speech on the 24th of September. MarkeRead More
26 Sep 2015
Janet Yellen, the Fed Chair, gave RBI Governor Dr. Raghuram Rajan the go ahead to ease policy rates and also to increase limits on FII investments in Indian Government Bonds. The FRead More
19 Sep 2015
The fall in global commodity prices on worries of China growth has hit credit spreads of bonds of commodity companies. Bonds of Vedanta and Hindalco, two of India’s largest commodiRead More
12 Sep 2015
The money market is flooded with liquidity on government spending. We had predicted in our liquidity analysis in the monthly Liquidity Cheat Sheet published on 10th August 2015 thaRead More
06 Sep 2015
Global risk aversion has come to the fore with all risk indicators pointing to high volatility in financial markets. Sensex and Nifty are down over 5% each today on the back of gloRead More
24 Aug 2015
Global risk aversion has come to the fore with all risk indicators pointing to high volatility in financial markets. Equity indices from the S&P 500 to China’s Shanghai ComposiRead More
22 Aug 2015
The spread between the five year OIS and five year Gsec has widened over the last one month indicating the optimism of swap traders on RBI Repo Rate cut and the pessimism of bond tRead More
15 Aug 2015
The bond trading community, which determines the interest rates in the economy, is an extremely unhappy lot. RBI has ensured that the trader has made no trading gains since JanuaryRead More
08 Aug 2015
The two months since RBI’s 2nd June 2015 policy has given enough hopes for the market for a change in RBI’s stance on policy rates. RBI had indicated in June that it would maintainRead More
01 Aug 2015
The Incremental Credit Deposit Ratio (ICDR) is the growth in credit in relation to growth in deposits and this ratio is showing extreme lack of credit appetite amongst banks. WatchRead More
25 Jul 2015
RBI is intent on maintaining overnight rates at the Repo Rate of 7.25% and is conducting Reverse Repo auctions to suck out excess system liquidity. Bids for overnight and five and Read More
18 Jul 2015
In a span of two weeks, RBI has shown a complete turnaround in terms of its signals to the market. The Central Bank rejected bids worth Rs 90 billion of the Rs 150 billion governmeRead More
11 Jul 2015
The Greek referendum on Sunday the 5th of July threw up a “No” vote against austerity measures imposed by the country’s creditors. The Greek PM, Alexis Tsipras wiRead More
04 Jul 2015
Greece has left the door open for exiting the Euro by rejecting the proposals of its creditors with its Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras calling for a surprise referendum on the bailoRead More
27 Jun 2015
The markets have moved from extreme pessimism to deep optimism in one week with bond yields falling by 18bps to 25bps across the curve week on week. The ten year benchmark bond, thRead More
20 Jun 2015
The timing is uncanny!!! Repo Rate at 7.25%, new ten year bond issued in May and US Fed action talks forcing FII’s to sell bonds. The similarities of June 2015 and June 2013 are stRead More
13 Jun 2015
Easy liquidity conditions coupled with RBI maintaining Repo Rate at 7.25% will see the bond market taking on carry positions, which is the primary reason why yields at the extreme Read More
06 Jun 2015
